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Mr. Market Miscalculates: The Bubble Years and Beyond 1st edition
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Most helpful customer reviews
5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
More of the right people should have listened
By Charles Montgomery
This is my first contact with Grant, the editor of "Grant's Interest Rate Observer". I just wish I had been a subscriber since 2000 and one who would have acted on what he said. Not since I read Winston Churchill's, "The Gathering Storm" have I read a book that shows such prescience and gives over and over the warnings of a boding calamity that, if the warnings had been heeded, could have been lessened in intensity if not prevented.
But one great mind is never able to sway leaders and politicians bent upon a self serving course of affairs, be it conquest on one side vs appeasement on the other or in the financial world greed/financial power on one hand vs political power and its misuse on the other.
His article of 8/11/2006 predicts, "the long -provoked national bear market[in housing]already underway."
The article of 9/22/2006,"Age of Aquarius", describing CDO's and subprime mortgages in general as well as,"ACA Aquarius 006-1 is a $2 billion,mezzanine-structured, hybrid collateralized debt obligation, or CDO." in particular makes one wonder how these impossibly complex and unsound instruments ever floated. But greed and the fear of not getting in on easy money makes people do amazing things. This is the one chapter we all should memorize.
He nails the big banks like GS, C, and defunct Merrill as well as their sometimes nefarious CEOs like Ruben and Paulson who obtained great political as well as financial power or ones like O'Neal, and Thain who broke their companies and gives a new(to me) inside view of Alan Greenspan that shows him to be merely mortal and sometimes pretty fallible too.
A great read and fun to see his humor poke the 'questionable' guys. The cartoons of Hank Blaustein are a lesson in themselves as well as humorous.
I just wish I could afford a subscription to the newsletter.
4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
Mr. Grant Delivers!
By Paige Turner
This is not a single book, but rather a collection of essays from Jim Grant's Interest Rate Observer. Many financial professionals at hedge funds and other institutions subscribe to Jim Grant for his witty, intellectual approach and macro views on the market. He often finds a bond, stock, or other investment that is over- or under-priced and explains why. He is a value investor, capitalist, and gold bug at heart. A subscription to his newsletter costs nearly $2000 per year, so this book is a bargain if you want to get a taste of his own favorite essays for only $9.99.
Many of these essays are fascinating, especially the ones foretelling certain doom in mortgages, CDOs, CDSs and other derivatives. I found the "book" to be intellectually stimulating and refreshing for the first two-thirds, until at that point I wanted to relax my mind. I found myself saying "I got it, Jim, you like Gold instead of Paper Money!"
If you are looking for an explanation of value investing or a breezy read on the markets, this is not the book for you. If you're the type of reader that relishes the long essays in the New York Times Weekend magazine focused on a specific topic, this book will give you great joy.
For financial professionals, this book is worth the price for the articles on CDS derivatives alone.
One of my favorite quotes:
"How convenient it would be now if mansions and subdivisions could be exported, to improve our foreign trade balance. Since they cannot be exported, perhaps the foreigners who own our massive debts can be repaid by coming to live in our McMansions, with homeowners serving as houseboys and house maids to the visiting Japanese and Chinese owners of our debt"
A typical passage from an essay on CDOs:
"Synthetic CDOs are different. They don't buy actual mortgages, or mortgage slices, as their cash-flow cousins do. Rather, they sell credit protection against such loans and slices. That is, they gain exposure to the subprime market by writing credit-default swaps on it."
17 of 17 people found the following review helpful.
"Maestro" exposed
By RobRoy
Interesting book for those who wonder how we messed up our financial system. Book consists of 60 articles/essays by Grant, originally written during the years 1999-1Q08, so it takes you back in time to when the bubble was inflating. Each article is 6-10 pages long, so ordinary readers who normally avoid reading economics can enjoy and finish each one, plus Grant is a witty/skillful writer. Biggest revelation is Grant's plain-English criticism of Alan Greenspan's policies (made during Greenspan's reign). We all know the "Maestro" kept rates too low too long, now we see why. Makes you wonder why Congress and the public treat Fed chairmen with fawning exaltation.
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